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+--- Thread: Labor Landslide in South Australia, One Nation vote surges (/showthread.php?tid=14)
Labor Landslide in South Australia, One Nation vote surges - oblivionobsession - 03-26-2026
Recently South Australia had a state general election, after a few days of counting the result has become clear. The incumbent Labor government has won in a landslide and increased its majority, all while the opposition Liberal party has backslided, losing seats to Labor, Independents and One Nation.
As of right now, the ABC projects the following seats:
Labor - 33
Liberals - 4
One Nation - 1
Independents - 4
5 seats remain in doubt, of those in doubt seats One Nation lead in 3, Liberals in 1, Labor in 1.
The current vote percentages look like this:
Labor - 37.6%
One Nation - 22.3%
Liberals - 19.3%
Greens - 10.2%
Other - 10.6%
Due to One Nation finishing ahead of the Liberals on vote share, there is no 2PP estimate available at this time
One Nation have overtaken the Liberals in vote share, the second time they have done this at any state or federal election since their founding in 1997. The only other time they scored higher than the Liberals was in the 1998 Queensland state election, however, it is important to note the National-Liberal coalition existed there, with the coalition vote being split amongst the 2 parties. The coalition vote in 1998 was still higher than One Nation, the Liberals here are not so fortunate, as while the Nationals do exist in South Australia, they only got 0.1% of the vote and have no formal relationship with the SA Liberals.
For the 1998 Queensland election, One Nation got 22.68% of the vote compared to the Liberals 16.09% and the Nationals 15.17%. This was the first time in Queensland since 1974 that the Liberals got more votes than the Nationals, and while the Nationals would remain the senior coalition partner there with more seats, their vote count would never again be above the Liberals and ultimately they would merge to form the Queensland LNP
A result similar to this has happened in the past, but Queensland One Nation quickly collapsed due to Pauline Hanson being a provably incapable leader, an issue that has plagued the party for 30 years as defections from One Nation are common. Time will only tell if One Nation can keep this momentum, or if like in 1998 they will come crashing down again. As for the South Australian Labor Party, they find themselves in a significant position of strength, as their charismatic and popular leader continues to win the hearts and mins of South Australians.